hoothoottook
0x4a75b03680af4e7b09a1ca0e48701fc574efebf5
- Realised P&L
- $-25.80
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $178.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.931 | 0.953 | $51.44 | +$1.16 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.974 | 0.982 | $50.30 | +$0.38 |
| StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.937 | 0.947 | $50.19 | +$0.53 |
| Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.950 | $26.60 | +$0.28 |
| Trump kiss by May 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.73at 0.948Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
- +$2.09at 0.920Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$2.03at 0.961Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
- +$1.81at 0.965Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
- +$1.69at 0.927Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 12:00 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.9649999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-19 08:09 | Named storm forms before hurricane season? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |
| 04-10 10:53 | Will GERB-UDF (GERB-SDS) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9272590787 | $21.55 |
| 04-07 08:01 | Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.981 | $21.14 |