ainbone
0x4a74304b126ea8f5c2a12e11893f8a3be093d7f5
- Realised P&L
- $153.22
- Volume
- $20.6k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $361.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.906 | $243.85 | −$24.88 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.971 | 0.978 | $117.30 | +$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.22at 0.860Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
- +$24.23at 0.893Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April?
- +$13.25at 0.938Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?
- +$9.24at 0.972Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$8.41at 0.940Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 02:10 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 10 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $268.73 |
| 08-02 15:47 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.10 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $250.75 |
| 07-25 00:37 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $260 end of July? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 07-25 00:34 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.40 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 07-25 00:34 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.60 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-19 12:33 | Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $218.78 |
| 07-19 12:33 | Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 07-17 02:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $186.00 |
| 07-17 02:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.9987971153 | $192.00 |
| 07-13 07:08 | Will Ted Cruz post 40-59 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $70.33 |
| 07-13 07:07 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.96 |
| 07-13 07:06 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9979533842 | $149.00 |
| 07-13 07:05 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $120.88 |
| 07-09 06:28 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of July 6 above $7.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $138.86 |
| 07-07 05:54 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of July 6 above $30? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |