d56fg165df1g
0x4a6884ba5481066955ed8fac761eb3fea37b1e7a
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $328.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.500Texans vs. Titans
- +$80.70at 0.700Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-17?
- +$69.36at 0.500Texans vs. Titans
- +$6.00at 0.352Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$4.74at 0.360Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:25 | Will Dennis Weilmann win the next Wolfsburg mayoral election? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-04 15:25 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.3106 | $15.53 |
| 08-04 15:25 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 08-04 15:25 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 08-04 13:11 | Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.8 | $64.75 |
| 08-04 11:07 | Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $13.50 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | SELL | 0.31218436 | $14.29 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 08-04 08:50 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.48 |
| 08-04 04:35 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | SELL | 0.78 | $39.78 |
| 08-04 03:01 | Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 03:01 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-04 03:01 | Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.50 |