d56fg165df1g
0x4a6884ba5481066955ed8fac761eb3fea37b1e7a
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $37.0k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $458.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.500Texans vs. Titans
- +$80.70at 0.700Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-17?
- +$69.36at 0.500Texans vs. Titans
- +$30.00at 0.700Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$6.00at 0.352Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 07:34 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 08-20 07:34 | Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-20 07:34 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $7.88 |
| 08-20 07:34 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 08-19 03:41 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 08-19 03:41 | Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 08-19 02:50 | US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-18 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18? | SELL | 0.545975 | $10.92 |
| 08-18 03:50 | Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-17 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.64 |
| 08-17 14:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 19? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.56 |
| 08-17 06:56 | Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.24 |
| 08-17 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.02 |
| 08-17 06:56 | Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 08-17 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 17? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.84 |