PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a5fe9fc9d44603f8e2895628b6ce30d52a04741

0x4a5fe9fc9d44603f8e2895628b6ce30d52a04741

Realised P&L
$3.62
Volume
$31.73
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$5.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 04:05Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-21 20:02Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-21 11:26Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-19 15:02Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-19 06:14Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-18 20:43Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
09-18 18:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-17 20:52Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-17 12:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-17 11:44S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-17 03:19Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-10 00:01Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-09 23:27Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-09 15:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5399999568$1.00