PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Elliottt

0x4a5614a5fc35f0484d79abb0a4f0e6663dafef97

Realised P&L
$-54.22
Volume
$1.16M
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$46.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9890.975$9.74−$0.14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9880.986$8.90−$0.02
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9500.951$8.80+$0.00
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9100.870$7.49−$0.34
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9830.993$6.01+$0.06
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 7? · No0.9840.966$5.50−$0.10
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$20.00
Sky vs Fever · Sky0.1900.000$0.00−$50.00
UFC 318: Johnson vs. Zellhuber · Zellhuber 0.8200.000$0.00−$260.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$17.00
UFC 318: Holland vs. Rodriguez · Holland0.8300.000$0.00−$250.00
UFC 318: Ige vs. Pitbull · Ige 0.6700.000$0.00−$250.00
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$56.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:13Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 7?BUY0.984$5.60
11-01 13:11No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.9099999907$7.83
10-19 11:37Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9879999996$8.92
10-12 10:29Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Manchester United FC?BUY0.96$6.37
09-28 16:42Latvia vs. Cyprus: Cyprus O/U 2.5BUY0.96$8.27
09-28 16:40Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.9499999892$8.80
08-26 17:55Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes?BUY0.9299999978$8.43
07-01 18:28Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.9709999981$5.00
06-02 11:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 3?BUY0.9489999967$9.11
06-02 11:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5?BUY0.9869999994$8.48
05-13 21:31Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0809999957$17.00
04-26 09:14Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.982999999$5.95
04-26 09:13Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.989$9.89
03-21 18:17Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY0.7299999974$20.00
03-18 13:51Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.997$4.75