Elliottt
0x4a5614a5fc35f0484d79abb0a4f0e6663dafef97
- Realised P&L
- $-54.22
- Volume
- $1.16M
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $46.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.55at 0.550UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier
- +$196.43at 0.560UFC 318: Phillips vs. Oliveira
- +$170.27at 0.370Sparks vs Valkyries
- +$145.60at 0.894Will Solana dip to $100 in May?
- +$32.96at 0.820UFC 318: Gautier vs. Valentin
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:13 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 7? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.60 |
| 11-01 13:11 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9099999907 | $7.83 |
| 10-19 11:37 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9879999996 | $8.92 |
| 10-12 10:29 | Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 Manchester United FC? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.37 |
| 09-28 16:42 | Latvia vs. Cyprus: Cyprus O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $8.27 |
| 09-28 16:40 | Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9499999892 | $8.80 |
| 08-26 17:55 | Will SPD win less than 5% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9299999978 | $8.43 |
| 07-01 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.9489999967 | $9.11 |
| 06-02 11:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9869999994 | $8.48 |
| 05-13 21:31 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999957 | $17.00 |
| 04-26 09:14 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.982999999 | $5.95 |
| 04-26 09:13 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 03-21 18:17 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 13:51 | Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.75 |