SeanBarton8631
0x4a40e84ab44bd71a2bd7d9f4f6592c90a141904b
- Realised P&L
- $-103.67
- Volume
- $110.6k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$296.00at 0.230Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$262.80at 0.226Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$246.60at 0.120Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$155.76at 0.780Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$119.32at 0.180Will Jayden Schaper win the DP AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 10:18 | Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference? | SELL | 0.73 | $24.82 |
| 04-11 09:42 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $17.64 |
| 04-11 09:03 | Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | SELL | 0.584 | $14.02 |
| 04-11 06:52 | US bank failure by December 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $25.83 |
| 04-11 02:50 | US bank failure by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $26.46 |
| 04-09 13:23 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 03-19 02:23 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $190.45 |
| 03-17 00:44 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $225.61 |
| 03-13 04:29 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 03-11 09:36 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.7 | $408.80 |
| 03-10 10:43 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March? | SELL | 0.86 | $133.30 |
| 03-06 09:11 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March? | BUY | 0.76 | $117.80 |
| 03-06 07:49 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $395.30 |
| 03-06 07:17 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | BUY | 0.81 | $473.04 |
| 02-28 11:32 | Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.901 | $59.47 |