PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SeanBarton8631

0x4a40e84ab44bd71a2bd7d9f4f6592c90a141904b

Realised P&L
$-103.67
Volume
$110.6k
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.6501.000$825.00+$288.75
Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) · Yes0.1801.000$619.00+$507.58
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes0.7360.368$270.85−$270.85
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference? · Yes0.7401.000$43.00+$11.18
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers · Eastern Illinois Panthers0.7991.000$13.00+$2.61
Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season? · No0.9691.000$4.00+$0.12
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.8400.994$2.98+$0.46
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season? · Yes0.8001.000$1.00+$0.20
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA? · Yes0.4401.000$1.00+$0.56
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1800.033$0.16−$0.74
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · Yes0.1100.016$0.05−$0.28
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.3200.002$0.01−$1.59
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$10.62
Will Salsa Tekila win the Orderly trading competition? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$4.36
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 10:18Will Powell say "Pandemic" during April press conference?SELL0.73$24.82
04-11 09:42Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?SELL0.28$17.64
04-11 09:03Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?SELL0.584$14.02
04-11 06:52US bank failure by December 31?SELL0.41$25.83
04-11 02:50US bank failure by December 31?BUY0.42$26.46
04-09 13:23Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?SELL0.36$2.88
03-19 02:23Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?SELL0.65$190.45
03-17 00:44Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.77$225.61
03-13 04:29Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.18$10.80
03-11 09:36Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026SELL0.7$408.80
03-10 10:43Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?SELL0.86$133.30
03-06 09:11Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?BUY0.76$117.80
03-06 07:49Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?BUY0.67$395.30
03-06 07:17Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026BUY0.81$473.04
02-28 11:32Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.901$59.47