PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CantStopWontStop

0x4a3b6ae4cccdd47cbd8563cd813155761deb3149

Realised P&L
$833.25
Volume
$325.9k
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$1.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.003$1.25−$0.25
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.25−$0.75
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.0610.033$0.16−$0.13
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0400.046$0.07+$0.01
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0520.045$0.07−$0.01
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.030$0.05−$0.05
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.0510.016$0.02−$0.04
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0020.002$0.00−$0.00
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$0.13
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$0.08
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.02
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$0.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.99
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 15:05Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.002$0.08
08-20 05:20Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.003$0.21
08-19 14:22Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?SELL0.007$0.35
08-17 20:22Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.005$0.35
08-17 13:17Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.008$0.48
08-17 11:52Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30?SELL0.003$0.18
08-16 16:46Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.003$0.15
08-16 16:38Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?SELL0.004$0.40
08-16 12:55Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?SELL0.001$0.01
08-16 12:47Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?SELL0.001$0.12
08-15 08:08Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.005$0.33
08-15 08:02Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?SELL0.006$0.05
08-15 07:14Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.004$0.21
08-13 18:57Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.001$0.01
08-13 18:49Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.001$0.01