CantStopWontStop
0x4a3b6ae4cccdd47cbd8563cd813155761deb3149
- Realised P&L
- $833.25
- Volume
- $325.9k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $1.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.62at 0.332US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$112.62at 0.402US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$59.06at 0.036Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
- +$58.67at 0.484US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$57.05at 0.015Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 15:05 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.08 |
| 08-20 05:20 | Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.21 |
| 08-19 14:22 | Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 08-17 20:22 | Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.35 |
| 08-17 13:17 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.48 |
| 08-17 11:52 | Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.18 |
| 08-16 16:46 | Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 08-16 16:38 | Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |
| 08-16 12:55 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-16 12:47 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 08-15 08:08 | Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.33 |
| 08-15 08:02 | Will at least 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 08-15 07:14 | Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.21 |
| 08-13 18:57 | Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 18:49 | Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |