wqvm0cr1spha
0x4a2b2fbd12217a67537c22ee1311a2f599483943
- Realised P&L
- $-58.06
- Volume
- $9.8k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $7.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.485 | $5.05 | +$0.65 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.215 | $2.01 | −$0.19 |
| Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.345 | $0.58 | −$0.52 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.085 | $0.30 | −$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.01at 0.424Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$2.67at 0.555Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.51at 0.424Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$1.13at 0.495Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
- +$0.47at 0.705Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:05 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.3619998848 | $1.10 |
| 10-04 09:36 | Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week? | BUY | 0.6499998818 | $1.10 |
| 10-04 02:50 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.09 |
| 10-03 14:34 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.15 |
| 10-03 13:54 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.00 |
| 10-03 13:44 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.00 |
| 10-03 13:03 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.01 |
| 10-03 10:10 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.74 |
| 10-02 05:39 | Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $1.10 |
| 10-01 05:37 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 12:41 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $0.01 |
| 09-30 12:40 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.06 |
| 09-30 10:37 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.5199999055 | $1.10 |
| 09-29 03:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 09-29 02:01 | Trump renames AI by December 31? | BUY | 0.6999998091 | $1.10 |