AntonDMilton
0x4a2097763c92a0b5713ab6c57727a67236e96d19
- Realised P&L
- $-25.59
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $115.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.366 | $35.70 | +$5.70 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.245 | $27.22 | −$2.78 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.870 | 0.940 | $21.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.550 | $20.89 | −$9.11 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.735 | $10.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$366.67at 0.120Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration?
- +$154.98at 0.563Someone else next Prime Minister of France?
- +$71.80at 0.302Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$61.60at 0.770Will France win on 2026-06-30?
- +$48.88at 0.756Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 11:56 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999937 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 11:55 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3079999942 | $30.00 |
| 07-21 11:53 | Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999947 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 16:40 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 16:37 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 19:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2924999913 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 19:15 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.3575 | $9.41 |
| 07-15 19:15 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2 | $33.33 |
| 07-14 19:54 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.37 | $50.00 |
| 07-12 19:05 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 19:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-03 09:22 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 09:18 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 07-03 09:16 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $100.00 |