PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AntonDMilton

0x4a2097763c92a0b5713ab6c57727a67236e96d19

Realised P&L
$-25.59
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$115.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3080.366$35.70+$5.70
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$27.22$2.78
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.8700.940$21.61+$1.61
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.7900.550$20.89$9.11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7000.735$10.50+$0.50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$30.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$40.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$100.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 11:56Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999937$30.00
07-21 11:55Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3079999942$30.00
07-21 11:53Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.7899999947$30.00
07-18 16:40Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999959$30.00
07-18 16:37France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.669999995$20.00
07-15 19:16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2924999913$20.00
07-15 19:15Will England win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.3575$9.41
07-15 19:15Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
07-14 19:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2$33.33
07-14 19:54Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.37$50.00
07-12 19:05Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
07-12 19:01Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999933$20.00
07-03 09:22Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.4$30.00
07-03 09:18Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5299999972$30.00
07-03 09:16Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.8699999999$100.00