PolyBot

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Traders

0x4a045d8c59de4e085bcf0003ba27cd60105268a6

Realised P&L
$13.75
Volume
$177.18
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$25.77

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.2800.440$3.14+$1.14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? · No0.6280.942$3.00+$1.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · No0.6940.962$2.77+$0.77
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6700.815$2.43+$0.43
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · Yes0.2400.285$2.37+$0.37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7900.925$2.34+$0.34
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · No0.3400.395$2.32+$0.32
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yes0.4600.445$1.93$0.07
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? · No0.6800.555$1.63$0.37
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.7500.585$1.56$0.44
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? · Yes0.2590.182$1.41$0.59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.105$0.49$1.51
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.4500.105$0.36$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 23:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6699996951$2.00
08-08 15:37Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
08-08 06:43Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-07 10:41Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-07 02:39Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6939999854$2.00
08-06 18:39US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.75$2.00
08-06 18:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-06 10:37Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?BUY0.6279999573$2.00
08-06 01:57Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-05 17:56Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.2699999163$2.00
08-05 09:55Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?BUY0.2589999283$2.00
08-05 01:54Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-04 17:53Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 09:47Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-04 01:46Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6699999196$2.00