0x4a045d8c59de4e085bcf0003ba27cd60105268a6
- Realised P&L
- $13.75
- Volume
- $177.18
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $25.77
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.09at 0.220Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.510Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.400Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.510Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$1.86at 0.380Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 23:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699996951 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 15:37 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 06:43 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 10:41 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 08-07 02:39 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6939999854 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 18:39 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 10:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6279999573 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 01:57 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 17:56 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 09:55 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July? | BUY | 0.2589999283 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 01:54 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 09:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 01:46 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $160 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |