AGcopytr
0x49d24e31b9afc1d39287835dcaeeed59a1da59f7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $623.8k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.7kat 0.349US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.9kat 0.128US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.631Red Sox vs. Yankees
- +$1.9kat 0.350US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.650Reds vs. Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 18:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $930.00 |
| 07-23 18:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.6k |
| 07-23 18:05 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $116.99 |
| 07-23 18:02 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.31 | $3.1k |
| 07-23 17:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.1k |
| 06-16 13:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9905751634 | $17.1k |
| 06-16 13:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9903653786 | $35.0k |
| 06-11 18:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $583.80 |
| 06-11 18:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3590766283 | $1.0k |
| 06-11 18:25 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3583086201 | $2.4k |
| 06-11 18:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1326385288 | $20.77 |
| 06-11 18:21 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.3k |
| 06-11 18:04 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.12251046 | $918.83 |
| 04-10 19:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.4k |
| 04-10 19:39 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.0k |