PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AGcopytr

0x49d24e31b9afc1d39287835dcaeeed59a1da59f7

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$623.8k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$6.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3060.205$4.1k$2.0k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1100.075$1.1k$525.00
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.024$673.74+$245.47
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.006$607.82+$46.76
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14? · No0.1800.000$0.00$1.4k
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$266.33
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$495.00
Will DR Congo win on 2025-10-14? · No0.2590.000$0.00$784.29
Red Sox vs. Yankees · Yankees0.5600.000$0.00$3.4k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$5.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.0k
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$3.1k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$366.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$7.7k
Maduro out in 2025? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$220.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 18:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$930.00
07-23 18:07Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.11$1.6k
07-23 18:05Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.006$116.99
07-23 18:02Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$3.1k
07-23 17:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$2.1k
06-16 13:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.9905751634$17.1k
06-16 13:57US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9903653786$35.0k
06-11 18:30US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.34$583.80
06-11 18:25US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3590766283$1.0k
06-11 18:25US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3583086201$2.4k
06-11 18:23US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1326385288$20.77
06-11 18:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.34$1.3k
06-11 18:04US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.12251046$918.83
04-10 19:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.09$1.4k
04-10 19:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.1$1.0k