PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Scattershot88

0x49d1bc8fba008de6914d0b7e927bc9d42af87b96

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$334.4k
Markets traded
1,232
Open portfolio
$770.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,232
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 11:47Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?BUY0.9524445235$53.57
06-04 11:27Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?BUY0.9354911531$76.66
06-04 11:21Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?BUY0.9271368169$46.49
05-16 17:12Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.947$443.16
05-16 17:12Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.946$283.80
05-16 17:11Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?BUY0.9251724138$53.66
05-16 17:10Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?BUY0.9116598431$106.88
05-16 17:10Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10?BUY0.9892339041$559.27
05-15 00:35Will Erik Bottcher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?SELL0.998$4.99
05-15 00:20Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.4493199382$29.07
05-15 00:19Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election?BUY0.4$40.00
05-15 00:18Will Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election?BUY0.4326313463$58.71
05-15 00:18Will Brandon Riker advance from the CA-48 primary election?BUY0.9074951076$46.37
04-25 16:15Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?SELL0.9443194261$50.02
04-25 16:15Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?SELL0.41$18.10
Trader Scattershot88 · PolyBot