Scattershot88
0x49d1bc8fba008de6914d0b7e927bc9d42af87b96
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $334.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,232
- Open portfolio
- $770.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,232
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.726Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$770.31at 0.490Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$720.30at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
- +$600.00at 0.400Warriors vs. Magic
- +$567.45at 0.455Spread: Tulane (-9.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 11:47 | Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? | BUY | 0.9524445235 | $53.57 |
| 06-04 11:27 | Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10? | BUY | 0.9354911531 | $76.66 |
| 06-04 11:21 | Will Ritchie Torres be the Democratic nominee for NY-15? | BUY | 0.9271368169 | $46.49 |
| 05-16 17:12 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.947 | $443.16 |
| 05-16 17:12 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $283.80 |
| 05-16 17:11 | Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07? | BUY | 0.9251724138 | $53.66 |
| 05-16 17:10 | Will Bob Brooks be the Democratic nominee for PA-07? | BUY | 0.9116598431 | $106.88 |
| 05-16 17:10 | Will Janelle Stelson be the Democratic Nominee for PA-10? | BUY | 0.9892339041 | $559.27 |
| 05-15 00:35 | Will Erik Bottcher be the democratic nominee for NY-12? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 05-15 00:20 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.4493199382 | $29.07 |
| 05-15 00:19 | Will Ammar Campa-Najjar advance from the CA-48 primary election? | BUY | 0.4 | $40.00 |
| 05-15 00:18 | Will Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election? | BUY | 0.4326313463 | $58.71 |
| 05-15 00:18 | Will Brandon Riker advance from the CA-48 primary election? | BUY | 0.9074951076 | $46.37 |
| 04-25 16:15 | Will Gary Goodweather win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | SELL | 0.9443194261 | $50.02 |
| 04-25 16:15 | Will Janeese Lewis George win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary? | SELL | 0.41 | $18.10 |