Scattershot88
0x49d1bc8fba008de6914d0b7e927bc9d42af87b96
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $337.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,261
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,261
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.726Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$770.31at 0.490Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$720.30at 0.510Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
- +$600.00at 0.400Warriors vs. Magic
- +$567.45at 0.455Spread: Tulane (-9.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 11:51 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.4k |
| 10-17 11:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-17 11:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 10-17 11:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 10-17 11:46 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $201.03 |
| 10-14 14:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.93 | $12.83 |
| 10-14 14:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.959862 | $47.99 |
| 10-14 14:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.819068 | $122.86 |
| 10-14 14:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat? | BUY | 0.8855 | $88.55 |
| 10-14 14:22 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.9146128 | $91.46 |
| 10-13 18:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.9457 | $94.57 |
| 10-13 18:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.954 | $28.62 |
| 10-13 18:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 10-13 18:41 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat? | BUY | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 10-13 18:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.91 | $227.50 |