PolyBot

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Traders

doomcat4208

0x49ce241ea7f07d3620e216ec1542d3f5f1e9b599

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$222.3k
Markets traded
513
Open portfolio
$56.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded513
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$33.00$27.00
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0340.021$12.77$7.23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1230.018$7.11$42.89
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$3.54$1.46
Will the Eagles commit a roughing the passer penalty in Super Bowl LIX? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$21.00
Will Steve Bannon be a member of the Trump administration? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$30.00
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
Will Noah Gray score the first touchdown of Super Bowl LIX? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$5.00
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$15.00
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Khamenei seen in public by March 4? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$3.00
Will the first team to score win Super Bowl LIX? · No0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 00:16Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.05$5.00
07-17 00:16Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.0699999979$30.00
07-17 00:14Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.297029703$30.00
07-17 00:14Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.2299999952$30.00
07-17 00:14Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.238727582$20.00
07-17 00:14Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.2563470506$40.00
07-17 00:13Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.1799999965$40.00
07-17 00:13Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.4099999947$20.00
07-17 00:13Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.1274509756$20.00
07-17 00:13Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.149999994$20.00
07-17 00:12Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.16$30.00
07-17 00:12Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
07-17 00:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4159999982$100.00
06-11 16:47Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.02$30.00
04-12 22:15Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.030999998$15.00