doomcat4208
0x49ce241ea7f07d3620e216ec1542d3f5f1e9b599
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $222.3k
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $56.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$515.51at 0.053Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?
- +$440.00at 0.120Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$388.28at 0.231Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
- +$375.22at 0.026Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$323.49at 0.255Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 00:16 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 15+ times during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 00:16 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.0699999979 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 00:14 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.297029703 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 00:14 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2299999952 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 00:14 | Will Trump say "Annihilated" or "Annihilating" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.238727582 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:14 | Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2563470506 | $40.00 |
| 07-17 00:13 | Will Trump say "Iraq" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.1799999965 | $40.00 |
| 07-17 00:13 | Will Trump say "Maduro" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:13 | Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.1274509756 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:13 | Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:12 | Will Trump say "Ukraine" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.16 | $30.00 |
| 07-17 00:12 | Will Trump say "Israel" or "Israeli" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4159999982 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 16:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.02 | $30.00 |
| 04-12 22:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.030999998 | $15.00 |