0x49C4a535912CFec7e90b33672771a7d6BA98dB5B-1775560756137
0x49c4a535912cfec7e90b33672771a7d6ba98db5b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.3k
- Volume
- $624.9k
- Markets traded
- 9,636
- Open portfolio
- $238.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,636
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$631.14at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?
- +$429.95at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24?
- +$358.46at 0.319Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$337.01at 0.238Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$324.89at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:19 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.42 |
| 09-22 22:53 | Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | BUY | 0.0604856099 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 17:27 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-11 House election by 5%-10%? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.83 |
| 09-21 19:19 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.32 |
| 09-19 21:35 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.04 |
| 09-19 06:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.21 |
| 09-19 06:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:36 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.07 |
| 09-18 00:47 | Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 06:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 01:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.00 |
| 09-13 17:03 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:03 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |