0x49C4a535912CFec7e90b33672771a7d6BA98dB5B-1775560756137
0x49c4a535912cfec7e90b33672771a7d6ba98db5b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $587.9k
- Markets traded
- 9,437
- Open portfolio
- $317.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,437
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$633.51at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 22?
- +$431.81at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on May 24?
- +$360.82at 0.314Solana Up or Down - July 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$338.72at 0.235Solana Up or Down - July 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$324.96at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.626 | $17.37 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5779999899 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 18:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5779999899 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0269999987 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.025999975 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | SELL | 0.045 | $53.45 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |