justgoingby
0x49b5ea600756e252050dd18aaba8317724f9d249
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $511.0k
- Markets traded
- 558
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded558
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.406Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
- +$802.35at 0.073Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$492.43at 0.432Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$400.44at 0.152Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
- +$399.09at 0.040Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 10:53 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 07-31 10:33 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.705 | $62.15 |
| 07-26 08:53 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.037 | $7.88 |
| 07-23 16:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.75 |
| 07-22 20:27 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.49 |
| 07-22 17:14 | Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-22 17:10 | Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 07-22 17:09 | Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.2004144527 | $18.86 |
| 07-22 11:18 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.60 |
| 07-19 21:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.3 | $3.30 |
| 07-19 18:28 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4125 | $4.54 |
| 07-18 18:21 | Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 14:42 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |
| 07-18 13:29 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.0062889462 | $8.18 |
| 07-18 12:41 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.158 | $0.83 |