PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

justgoingby

0x49b5ea600756e252050dd18aaba8317724f9d249

Realised P&L
$6.9k
Volume
$511.0k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$2.0k+$731.25
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.6700.770$1.2k+$149.25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$518.75$731.25
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8030.878$472.76+$40.26
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4300.365$219.00$39.33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.8140.870$205.85+$13.33
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4750.350$122.63$44.00
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.7370.775$116.24+$5.75
Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8030.921$96.67+$12.40
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1100.310$91.93+$59.31
Will voter turnout be between 47% and 50% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1310.070$78.21$68.39
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0350.086$21.60+$12.85
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.085$21.25$1.25
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? · Yes0.0130.027$17.70+$9.21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0120.011$15.98$0.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 10:53Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.026$2.60
07-31 10:33Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.705$62.15
07-26 08:53Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.037$7.88
07-23 16:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?SELL0.014$1.75
07-22 20:27Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.75$37.49
07-22 17:14Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.87$4.35
07-22 17:10Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8$80.00
07-22 17:09Will voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.2004144527$18.86
07-22 11:18Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.026$2.60
07-19 21:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.3$3.30
07-19 18:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4125$4.54
07-18 18:21Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
07-18 14:42Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.14$4.20
07-18 13:29Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?SELL0.0062889462$8.18
07-18 12:41Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.158$0.83