0x49B4f7B6816a03012c9C191e350D0D662dE323bB-1767985595069
0x49b4f7b6816a03012c9c191e350d0d662de323bb
- Realised P&L
- $58.14
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $63.88
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.16at 0.357Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
- +$18.12at 0.212US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$7.37at 0.520Lightning vs. Stars
- +$7.24at 0.58049ers vs. Eagles
- +$7.09at 0.530Penguins vs. Kraken
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:37 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.60 |
| 10-28 14:28 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.566 | $5.66 |
| 10-27 23:42 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 10-27 23:39 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.566 | $5.66 |
| 10-27 23:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.80 |
| 09-20 23:09 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.84 |
| 09-05 17:20 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 09-05 17:19 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.17 |
| 08-25 22:34 | Will Ralph Norman win Charleston County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 08-25 22:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.35 |
| 08-25 01:56 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.92 |
| 08-16 21:09 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.84 |
| 08-16 21:09 | Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.01 |
| 08-16 21:02 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 08-16 21:01 | Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |