PolyBot

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Traders

0x49a39e30e986c7f9587803c0d30d4eb9344ead7d

Realised P&L
$-1.38
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$19.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8800.991$9.57+$1.07
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No0.0600.421$7.02+$6.02
Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.9350.977$1.04+$0.04
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.1000.054$0.55$0.46
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.2300.120$0.52$0.48
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1800.085$0.47$0.53
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 TOUR Championship? · Yes0.2100.047$0.22$0.78
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2100.037$0.18$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 20:58Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.3499999475$3.00
07-19 20:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6209999865$11.55
07-16 21:53Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.638$1.45
07-09 08:50Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.9349996307$1.00
07-06 20:50Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.048$1.95
07-06 20:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8299999895$3.95
07-06 19:27Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0839999294$1.00
07-06 19:27Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1$1.00
07-05 21:43Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-05 20:58Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$1.00
07-05 20:54Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.4389998169$1.00
07-05 20:53Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.5619998898$1.00
07-04 22:22Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
06-14 17:20Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.7399998964$5.00
06-12 23:39Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1929998498$1.00