0x49a39e30e986c7f9587803c0d30d4eb9344ead7d
0x49a39e30e986c7f9587803c0d30d4eb9344ead7d
- Realised P&L
- $28.61
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $21.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.54at 0.594Presidents Cup 2026 Winner
- +$19.83at 0.048Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$10.98at 0.062Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
- +$8.49at 0.702Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$6.77at 0.636Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 23:00 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $73.82 |
| 09-27 20:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.962 | $8.27 |
| 09-26 23:18 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.3799999656 | $2.21 |
| 09-26 21:00 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999855 | $7.39 |
| 09-26 20:55 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.6499999903 | $10.08 |
| 09-26 20:54 | Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.87 |
| 09-25 22:28 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.4971973094 | $8.87 |
| 09-25 22:24 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | SELL | 0.981 | $9.47 |
| 09-25 22:04 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.5499999775 | $8.56 |
| 09-25 20:41 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winner | BUY | 0.7699999839 | $5.73 |
| 09-23 20:30 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.5149999945 | $1.87 |
| 09-23 20:24 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9659999977 | $8.31 |
| 09-23 20:18 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.221999998 | $2.42 |
| 09-23 20:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.581999891 | $1.42 |
| 09-23 20:17 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.42 |