PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lolly99

0x498b19d3e784580fd9a8249a16b48b2b6355c8a5

Realised P&L
$-398.45
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
221
Open portfolio
$45.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded221
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.8200.925$11.28+$1.28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026? · Yes0.8760.969$11.07+$1.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1700.135$4.76−$1.24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · Yes0.3370.320$4.75−$0.25
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.255$3.98−$1.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.1900.125$3.29−$1.71
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? · Yes0.1400.165$2.36+$0.36
Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.150$1.58−$0.42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? · Yes0.0440.035$0.78−$0.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? · Yes0.0700.045$0.64−$0.36
Will Trump pardon Andrew Tate before 2027? · Yes0.0800.025$0.32−$0.68
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.2200.011$0.24−$4.76
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.026$0.18−$0.82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.0270.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 23:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-17 23:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?BUY0.0439999995$1.00
10-16 17:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.3366336447$5.00
10-15 22:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.2890009001$9.63
10-12 09:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.729999954$10.00
10-06 21:27Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-06 21:27Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-06 21:26Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999962$2.00
10-06 21:17Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.149999997$5.00
10-06 21:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?BUY0.8199999967$10.00
10-06 21:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026?BUY0.8756218888$10.00
10-06 21:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 17, 2026?BUY0.8571836713$10.00
10-06 21:14Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
10-05 20:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.1699999983$6.00
10-05 17:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.1899999962$5.00