Lolly99
0x498b19d3e784580fd9a8249a16b48b2b6355c8a5
- Realised P&L
- $-398.45
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $45.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.21at 0.179Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
- +$68.20at 0.529Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?
- +$66.41at 0.648France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$53.67at 0.632Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$45.85at 0.726Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 23:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 23:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 17:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.3366336447 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 22:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | SELL | 0.2890009001 | $9.63 |
| 10-12 09:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 21:27 | Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 21:27 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 21:26 | Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 21:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 21:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 21:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.8756218888 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 21:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.8571836713 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 21:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 20:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 17:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |