PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x496ddda3017677fc8f5cfc9a401650fd287be095

0x496ddda3017677fc8f5cfc9a401650fd287be095

Realised P&L
$3.87
Volume
$187.87
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$5.14

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · No0.7300.880$1.21+$0.21
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · Yes0.2600.275$1.06+$0.06
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.7800.795$1.02+$0.02
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes0.4000.395$0.99−$0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.3200.135$0.42−$0.58
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.7200.130$0.18−$0.82
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.5300.070$0.13−$0.87
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.050$0.13−$0.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 15:06Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?BUY0.4$1.00
10-12 07:05Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
10-11 23:05Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-11 14:16Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-11 03:49Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
10-10 19:32Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-08 21:58Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
10-08 09:54Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
10-08 01:13Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 17:12Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-06 08:11Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-06 00:08Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-05 15:35Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-05 00:06Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $183 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-02 13:33Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00