PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

doodless

0x49489b4a81a506c1cee93e6d91e3ea4d8396fc2a

Realised P&L
$4.65
Volume
$49.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$137.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5600.435$69.60$20.00
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.4000.415$37.35+$1.35
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6300.620$31.00$0.50
Will another team win La Liga? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$31.48
Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.56$89.60
09-12 13:00Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.4$36.00
09-12 13:00Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.63$31.50
09-12 12:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$79.00
09-12 12:59Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$3.68
06-24 11:32Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$25.75
06-24 11:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.758$113.70
04-11 07:27US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?BUY0.99$101.97
04-11 07:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$121.39
03-28 03:56Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.996$121.51
03-28 03:55Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.006$46.54
01-31 11:08Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$62.06
10-30 10:15Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$51.52
08-30 17:07Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.003$22.08
08-30 17:06Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?BUY0.9779999672$25.00