doodless
0x49489b4a81a506c1cee93e6d91e3ea4d8396fc2a
- Realised P&L
- $4.65
- Volume
- $49.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $137.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.560 | 0.435 | $69.60 | −$20.00 |
| Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.415 | $37.35 | +$1.35 |
| Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.620 | $31.00 | −$0.50 |
| Will another team win La Liga? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.48 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon be the People's Power Party candidate for president? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.92at 0.767Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$29.44at 0.003Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$20.17at 0.798Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$4.09at 0.816Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
- +$2.64at 0.974Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $89.60 |
| 09-12 13:00 | Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $36.00 |
| 09-12 13:00 | Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.63 | $31.50 |
| 09-12 12:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 09-12 12:59 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.68 |
| 06-24 11:32 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $25.75 |
| 06-24 11:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.758 | $113.70 |
| 04-11 07:27 | US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $101.97 |
| 04-11 07:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $121.39 |
| 03-28 03:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $121.51 |
| 03-28 03:55 | Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $46.54 |
| 01-31 11:08 | Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $62.06 |
| 10-30 10:15 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $51.52 |
| 08-30 17:07 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $22.08 |
| 08-30 17:06 | Will SOL flip ETH in 2025? | BUY | 0.9779999672 | $25.00 |