PolyBot

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Traders

0x4924676874847553e6ad753651104138508f3b79

0x4924676874847553e6ad753651104138508f3b79

Realised P&L
$4.81
Volume
$262.19
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$6.79

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 04:29Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
09-27 19:58Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-27 11:55Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-27 02:42Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-26 13:12Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-26 05:12Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 21:04Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?BUY0.64$1.00
09-20 10:50Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3699999593$2.00
09-20 01:04Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-17 00:03Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-11 11:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-11 10:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.137$1.25
09-11 10:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.73$2.47
09-11 10:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.6$2.79
09-10 15:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5899999145$2.00