TheBall
0x490e807c5a431752bee1a5b48cbfbcb4a45773ad
- Realised P&L
- $107.3k
- Volume
- $27.76M
- Markets traded
- 659
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded659
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Welsh Fire · Birmingham Phoenix | 0.121 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.63 |
| The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave · Southern Brave | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.80 |
| The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds · Birmingham Phoenix | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$620.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.3kat 0.003Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
- +$38.1kat 0.003Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
- +$35.6kat 0.004Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$27.8kat 0.045Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
- +$24.4kat 0.031Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:51 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | SELL | 0.33 | $194.79 |
| 08-07 18:46 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-07 18:46 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.3887951807 | $387.24 |
| 08-07 18:05 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | SELL | 0.25 | $14.21 |
| 08-07 18:05 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | SELL | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-07 17:49 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 08-07 17:41 | The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.35 | $2.80 |
| 08-07 17:04 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.9593709677 | $178.44 |
| 08-07 16:59 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.967 | $9.67 |
| 08-07 16:51 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.048 | $98.64 |
| 08-07 16:47 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-07 16:38 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.93 | $243.51 |
| 08-07 16:22 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 08-07 16:18 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Galle Gallants vs Colombo Kaps | BUY | 0.2243478261 | $5.16 |
| 08-07 16:06 | The Hundred, Women: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds | BUY | 0.999 | $181.02 |