PolyBot

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Traders

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a

Realised P&L
$902.46
Volume
$70.7k
Markets traded
1,352
Open portfolio
$605.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,352
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:45Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.9299999973$13.92
08-04 19:38Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?SELL0.833$0.29
08-04 19:24Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6?BUY0.0309999811$1.56
08-04 19:24Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6?BUY0.1139973746$3.51
08-04 19:18Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-04 19:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.329999909$1.56
08-04 18:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.6099999253$3.02
08-04 18:46Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.63$0.43
08-04 18:45Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.6299999266$1.46
08-04 18:22Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.8599999977$14.86
08-04 18:20Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.8599999988$29.73
08-04 17:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?SELL0.13$0.41
08-04 17:00Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.02$0.01
08-04 16:37Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4?SELL0.26$0.82
08-04 16:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4?BUY0.12$0.04
Trader 0x490e…123a · PolyBot