0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
- Realised P&L
- $894.84
- Volume
- $84.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,651
- Open portfolio
- $277.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,651
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$227.99at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$107.66at 0.077France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5
- +$103.59at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$92.47at 0.094Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$68.38at 0.170Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 13:19 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599999955 | $5.90 |
| 09-20 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1497692308 | $3.89 |
| 09-20 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.1001736865 | $2.31 |
| 09-20 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.20 |
| 09-20 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.27 |
| 09-20 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.22 |
| 09-20 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.02 |
| 09-20 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.1399999966 | $4.10 |
| 09-20 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-20 01:06 | Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.5899999819 | $2.94 |
| 09-20 01:03 | Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.47 | $0.70 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? | BUY | 0.9499999886 | $33.30 |
| 09-19 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-19 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0299999996 | $1.45 |
| 09-19 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.33 |