0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a
- Realised P&L
- $902.46
- Volume
- $70.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,352
- Open portfolio
- $605.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,352
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$230.32at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?
- +$107.90at 0.075France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5
- +$104.55at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?
- +$95.88at 0.090Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
- +$68.38at 0.170Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9299999973 | $13.92 |
| 08-04 19:38 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.833 | $0.29 |
| 08-04 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0309999811 | $1.56 |
| 08-04 19:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1139973746 | $3.51 |
| 08-04 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.329999909 | $1.56 |
| 08-04 18:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6099999253 | $3.02 |
| 08-04 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.63 | $0.43 |
| 08-04 18:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6299999266 | $1.46 |
| 08-04 18:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8599999977 | $14.86 |
| 08-04 18:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8599999988 | $29.73 |
| 08-04 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.41 |
| 08-04 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.01 |
| 08-04 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.82 |
| 08-04 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.04 |