lebensenergie
0x490690bf5ff3ce1ca743d5a393d83480cb70db6d
- Realised P&L
- $120.83
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.28at 0.617NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
- +$130.98at 0.649Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$42.76at 0.706Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$42.32at 0.857Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$34.73at 0.504US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:48 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $33.60 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $45.08 |
| 09-17 23:38 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.79 | $59.23 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $98.15 |
| 09-17 18:46 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.79 | $75.04 |
| 09-17 11:43 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.73 | $142.71 |
| 09-13 20:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $169.99 |
| 09-13 20:07 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0094343113 | $10.70 |
| 09-12 13:58 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0130940761 | $3.82 |
| 09-12 13:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-12 13:48 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.7060407931 | $99.35 |
| 09-12 13:21 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | BUY | 0.7132252 | $178.31 |
| 09-12 13:14 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0106666667 | $3.20 |
| 09-07 01:10 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.149 | $124.37 |
| 09-07 01:08 | Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $129.93 |