0x48DC920B67211AA5c0BDA2EDe0E3e865BC54B4D3-1788265332837
0x48dc920b67211aa5c0bda2ede0e3e865bc54b4d3
- Realised P&L
- $190.20
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 609
- Open portfolio
- $24.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded609
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up | 0.657 | 0.815 | $11.49 | +$2.23 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 18? · No | 0.196 | 0.163 | $3.61 | −$0.73 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · No | 0.850 | 0.962 | $2.79 | +$0.32 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 17? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.535 | $2.27 | −$0.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down | 0.385 | 0.185 | $1.85 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $1.30 | −$1.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15? · No | 0.909 | 0.972 | $1.10 | +$0.07 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? · Yes | 0.595 | 0.017 | $0.09 | −$3.06 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 16? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.035 | $0.06 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.53at 0.289Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$61.08at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$52.82at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$51.80at 0.635Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
- +$48.01at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8399998415 | $2.12 |
| 09-15 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $1.35 |
| 09-15 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999494 | $1.62 |
| 09-15 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.57 |
| 09-15 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999897 | $1.90 |
| 09-15 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5599998907 | $1.23 |
| 09-15 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999019 | $1.37 |
| 09-15 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999961 | $1.95 |
| 09-15 23:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.11 |
| 09-15 23:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $2.22 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.62 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999377 | $1.90 |
| 09-15 23:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-15 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999218 | $1.10 |