manvsrice42
0x489d3df3601288940f89d56b5642b0951129f6e3
- Realised P&L
- $-83.8k
- Volume
- $15.56M
- Markets traded
- 22,596
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded22,596
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs | 0.520 | 0.625 | $542.28 | +$91.12 |
| Chargers vs. Rams · Rams | 0.604 | 0.955 | $334.23 | +$122.75 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.472 | 0.375 | $317.87 | −$82.45 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.679 | 1.000 | $194.89 | +$62.45 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.386 | 0.595 | $179.63 | +$63.22 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · No | 0.220 | 0.215 | $172.00 | −$4.00 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins · Patriots | 0.585 | 0.405 | $142.52 | −$63.37 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.985 | 0.977 | $97.65 | −$0.85 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.910 | 0.954 | $95.40 | +$4.40 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.985 | 0.952 | $95.15 | −$3.35 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Nets | 0.481 | 0.545 | $92.41 | +$10.83 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.880 | 0.847 | $84.70 | −$3.30 |
| Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao Huang · Coleman Wong | 0.810 | 0.840 | $84.00 | +$3.00 |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana · Mary Stoiana | 0.840 | 0.835 | $83.50 | −$0.50 |
| Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.509 | 0.455 | $79.42 | −$9.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.659Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liang
- +$3.8kat 0.567Timberwolves vs. 76ers
- +$3.5kat 0.657Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$3.5kat 0.600Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$3.0kat 0.721Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:25 | Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 17:14 | Will SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Rot-Weiss Essen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.889999991 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 17:13 | Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 11-01 17:11 | Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Botoşani end in a draw? | BUY | 0.928999996 | $9.30 |
| 11-01 17:10 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 11-01 16:41 | Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 16:13 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.889999991 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 15:51 | Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 11-01 15:49 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9199999961 | $9.40 |
| 11-01 15:47 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 15:44 | Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Will SK Brann vs. Molde FK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 14:52 | Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.889999991 | $9.90 |
| 11-01 14:41 | Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.33 |