PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

manvsrice42

0x489d3df3601288940f89d56b5642b0951129f6e3

Realised P&L
$-83.8k
Volume
$15.56M
Markets traded
22,596
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded22,596
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Chiefs0.5200.625$542.28+$91.12
Chargers vs. Rams · Rams0.6040.955$334.23+$122.75
Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos0.4720.375$317.87−$82.45
Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics0.6791.000$194.89+$62.45
Patriots vs. Dolphins · Dolphins0.3860.595$179.63+$63.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · No0.2200.215$172.00−$4.00
Patriots vs. Dolphins · Patriots0.5850.405$142.52−$63.37
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9850.977$97.65−$0.85
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9100.954$95.40+$4.40
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9850.952$95.15−$3.35
Nets vs. Pacers · Nets0.4810.545$92.41+$10.83
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8800.847$84.70−$3.30
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Tsung-Hao Huang · Coleman Wong0.8100.840$84.00+$3.00
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana · Mary Stoiana0.8400.835$83.50−$0.50
Nets vs. Pacers · Pacers0.5090.455$79.42−$9.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:25Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9$9.90
11-01 17:14Will SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Rot-Weiss Essen end in a draw?BUY0.889999991$9.90
11-01 17:13Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9$4.50
11-01 17:11Will Universitatea Craiova CS vs. FC Botoşani end in a draw?BUY0.928999996$9.30
11-01 17:10Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.93$9.30
11-01 16:50Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.91$9.10
11-01 16:41Will CD La Serena win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9$9.90
11-01 16:13Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.889999991$9.90
11-01 15:51Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.91$9.10
11-01 15:49Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9199999961$9.40
11-01 15:47Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?BUY0.9$9.90
11-01 15:44Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.9$9.90
11-01 15:26Will SK Brann vs. Molde FK end in a draw?BUY0.9$9.90
11-01 14:52Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?BUY0.889999991$9.90
11-01 14:41Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.94$1.33