0x488166e7ffdd2e4842a7934dfd39b4f8e5f653bc
0x488166e7ffdd2e4842a7934dfd39b4f8e5f653bc
- Realised P&L
- $-62.14
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $14.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.495 | $7.42 | +$1.43 |
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.365 | $6.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.68at 0.063Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$23.24at 0.236Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$17.25at 0.368US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$15.96at 0.394Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?
- +$13.31at 0.281Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 11:58 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.129999999 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 11:57 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3299999852 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 11:57 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 11:56 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 11:55 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $6.00 |
| 09-19 16:52 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999998 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 16:51 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $8.00 |
| 09-19 16:49 | Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.699999965 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 16:48 | Will Hapoel Ramat Gan Givatayim FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 16:47 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999952 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 16:44 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 16:43 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999584 | $4.00 |
| 09-19 16:43 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 08:09 | Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:08 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $5.00 |