PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cryptoalphawolf

0x486e590d781d75d377cabe9086aa20683ed86e5e

Realised P&L
$20.10
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$80.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.2780.335$24.14+$4.14
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · Yes0.1220.043$8.67−$16.33
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.3060.085$8.34−$21.66
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.5200.120$6.92−$23.08
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5400.165$6.11−$13.89
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.041$4.05−$5.95
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · Yes0.4800.038$3.96−$46.04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2600.165$3.17−$1.83
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5600.835$2.98+$0.98
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.013$2.95−$27.05
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · Yes0.3040.160$2.63−$2.37
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · Yes0.0920.032$1.73−$3.27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3800.043$1.70−$13.30
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · Yes0.1000.021$1.07−$3.92
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · Yes0.2000.018$0.88−$9.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 17:16Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?BUY0.1$5.00
08-09 17:11Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.4799999981$50.00
08-09 17:10Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
08-09 17:09Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
08-09 17:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-09 17:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-09 17:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
07-17 16:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.5199999979$30.00
07-17 16:52IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?BUY0.303921543$5.00
07-17 16:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.289999964$5.00
07-17 16:48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-17 16:44Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.588$18.60
07-12 08:32Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?SELL0.8246992783$41.14
06-04 17:40Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
06-04 17:39US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.6899999393$10.00