0x486d36991c72e90c038Df6d25670e71867c00cdc-1764701801902
0x486d36991c72e90c038df6d25670e71867c00cdc
- Realised P&L
- $-90.55
- Volume
- $52.2k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $910.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.11at 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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- +$95.39at 0.390Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$78.67at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $29.75 |
| 10-02 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6385068695 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6063618224 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 01:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 09-28 01:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 02:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5299999924 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 00:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 00:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $7.69 |
| 09-20 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 19:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.4738967926 | $73.28 |
| 09-20 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2713178269 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 19:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.7051209677 | $27.98 |
| 09-20 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |