PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x486d36991c72e90c038Df6d25670e71867c00cdc-1764701801902

0x486d36991c72e90c038df6d25670e71867c00cdc

Realised P&L
$-90.55
Volume
$52.2k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$910.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2760.586$424.10+$224.10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4100.365$356.10−$43.90
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6600.355$53.79−$46.21
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.2390.121$50.86−$49.14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$18.00−$30.00
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.4450.035$7.98−$92.02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.4170.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$9.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Down0.7400.000$0.00−$25.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETSELL0.76$29.75
10-02 03:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.6385068695$25.00
09-28 01:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.6063618224$25.00
09-28 01:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.4699999944$25.00
09-28 01:35Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETBUY0.7399999953$25.00
09-21 02:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.5299999924$25.00
09-21 00:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.04$5.00
09-21 00:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.3699999976$25.00
09-20 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.08$7.69
09-20 19:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2599999977$25.00
09-20 19:27Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETSELL0.4738967926$73.28
09-20 19:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2713178269$25.00
09-20 19:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.4$25.00
09-20 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSELL0.7051209677$27.98
09-20 18:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.629999995$25.00