PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

da66ers

0x486b4695657102f66a595701106d2dbab87f3ea7

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$149.6k
Markets traded
147
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded147
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7300.921$3.3k+$682.70
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6600.940$346.86+$103.32
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.085$94.94$307.18
MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.5800.685$50.69+$7.77
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 02:49Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?SELL0.4$432.80
04-11 23:48Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?SELL0.71$227.91
04-11 19:13Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?SELL0.33$230.67
04-11 17:54Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.17$17.00
04-11 10:28MagicBlock FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.24$6.00
04-11 08:26Will Tochigi SC vs. Thespa Gunma end in a draw?SELL0.011$10.02
04-11 08:00Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.18$1.08
04-10 02:50Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)BUY0.5$189.00
04-10 01:53Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?BUY0.86$930.52
04-10 00:34Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?SELL0.53$74.73
04-10 00:09US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.57$470.25
04-09 22:34Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?SELL0.6$13.80
04-09 22:03Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.65$87.75
04-09 20:08Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?BUY0.72$101.52
04-09 20:00Will "Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-" win Best Action Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?BUY0.85$594.15