PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sentosempere

0x48395116ad607a6996576488566082f1be1d0c35

Realised P&L
$-119.05
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
1,071
Open portfolio
$15.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,071
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4260.308$5.28−$2.02
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5800.565$1.88−$0.05
Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.305$1.88−$0.03
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.255$1.87−$0.04
Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.265$1.81−$0.10
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.5490.398$1.41−$0.54
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0500.023$0.88−$1.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2640.148$0.56−$0.44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.3000.050$0.17−$0.83
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.90
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.91
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 21:17Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?BUY0.2799999824$1.91
10-07 21:16Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.3099999659$1.91
10-07 21:15Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?BUY0.2599999946$1.91
10-07 21:15Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5799999098$1.93
09-29 05:33Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.05$1.92
09-29 05:33Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5489999333$1.95
09-29 05:32Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.425999981$7.30
09-18 22:42Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.2399999899$1.90
09-18 22:42Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5$1.93
09-18 22:41Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4499999648$1.92
09-18 22:41Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.3099999659$1.91
09-18 22:39Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999852$1.93
09-18 22:38Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?BUY0.2699999647$1.91
09-08 20:50Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.9299999858$1.97
09-03 05:42US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia StarodubtsevaBUY0.6099999214$1.94