PolyBot

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Traders

Jarrad

0x4805e4fc30281fc1061db1d71e196aa3e21593ef

Realised P&L
$589.54
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$96.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the fight be won by decision? · No0.9300.950$94.98+$2.00
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.3600.037$1.69−$14.76
Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage · OG0.4300.000$0.00−$64.50
Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during Fox & Friends appearance? · No0.2780.000$0.00−$11.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner · Hanwha Life Esports0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner · G2 Esports0.2500.000$0.00−$15.00
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs · Vici Gaming0.2500.000$0.00−$26.25
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No0.3060.000$0.00−$78.84
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier · Nemiga0.3500.000$0.00−$24.50
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · 1win0.5000.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Mineral" during Friday roundtable? · No0.0300.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$95.00
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage · Rune Eaters0.2200.000$0.00−$10.12
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Falcons0.4400.000$0.00−$14.32
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage · Team Yandex0.4300.000$0.00−$64.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 21:28Will the fight end in a decision or draw?BUY0.27$8.10
08-21 09:36Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.87$43.50
08-21 09:35Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.84$33.60
08-21 02:59Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.5825$11.65
08-21 02:38Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.17$8.50
08-21 00:24Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.53$53.00
08-20 05:04Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.967$96.70
08-20 03:58Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.71$142.00
08-20 02:37Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.47$141.00
08-15 12:19Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.43$64.50
08-15 09:43Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group StageBUY0.43$64.50
08-14 12:05Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York?BUY0.288702$43.31
08-14 12:05Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?BUY0.32$92.99
08-14 12:02Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York?BUY0.5196203145$139.46
08-12 04:16Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.881$36.31