Jarrad
0x4805e4fc30281fc1061db1d71e196aa3e21593ef
- Realised P&L
- $589.54
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $96.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.75at 0.386Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during cabinet meeting?
- +$161.13at 0.271Will Trump say "Too Big to Rig" during remarks in Georgia?
- +$150.54at 0.247Will Trump say "Regulation" during Michigan remarks?
- +$126.24at 0.530Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$118.08at 0.410Will Trump say "Landslide" during remarks in Georgia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 21:28 | Will the fight end in a decision or draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 08-21 09:36 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.87 | $43.50 |
| 08-21 09:35 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 08-21 02:59 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.5825 | $11.65 |
| 08-21 02:38 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 08-21 00:24 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 08-20 05:04 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.967 | $96.70 |
| 08-20 03:58 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 08-20 02:37 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 08-15 12:19 | Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.43 | $64.50 |
| 08-15 09:43 | Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage | BUY | 0.43 | $64.50 |
| 08-14 12:05 | Will Trump say "Think About It" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.288702 | $43.31 |
| 08-14 12:05 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.32 | $92.99 |
| 08-14 12:02 | Will Trump say "Crime" 15+ times during remarks in New York? | BUY | 0.5196203145 | $139.46 |
| 08-12 04:16 | Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.881 | $36.31 |