PolyBot

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Traders

howstheweather

0x47f73420e75fda5843e825feba5c7829ae110312

Realised P&L
$-13.5k
Volume
$2.42M
Markets traded
4,488
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,488
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 09:29Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11?BUY0.97$2.10
09-07 16:03Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8?BUY0.99$54.95
09-07 16:03Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8?BUY0.98$59.29
09-07 16:03Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8?BUY0.97$32.33
09-07 16:03Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8?BUY0.96$4.80
09-02 05:37Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 2?SELL0.999$47.89
08-31 01:12Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31?BUY0.99$4.95
08-31 01:10Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31?BUY0.996$249.00
08-31 01:10Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31?BUY0.9954910941$391.23
08-23 04:33Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 22?SELL0.999$122.36
08-22 11:25Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22?SELL0.999$449.29
08-22 00:01Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21?SELL0.999$289.90
08-16 16:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16?SELL0.999$656.89
08-14 17:57Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?SELL0.999$77.92
08-12 06:15Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 12?SELL0.999$207.28