howstheweather
0x47f73420e75fda5843e825feba5c7829ae110312
- Realised P&L
- $-13.5k
- Volume
- $2.42M
- Markets traded
- 4,488
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,488
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$591.64at 0.437Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$503.07at 0.907Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?
- +$394.70at 0.197Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$322.93at 0.806Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
- +$318.18at 0.646Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.10 |
| 09-07 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.95 |
| 09-07 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $59.29 |
| 09-07 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.97 | $32.33 |
| 09-07 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 09-02 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $47.89 |
| 08-31 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-31 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $249.00 |
| 08-31 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 31? | BUY | 0.9954910941 | $391.23 |
| 08-23 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $122.36 |
| 08-22 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $449.29 |
| 08-22 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on August 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $289.90 |
| 08-16 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $656.89 |
| 08-14 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.92 |
| 08-12 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $207.28 |