PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

tennisclub

0x479d647a0b3a55b87883ee7189ebb4f165b2d469

Realised P&L
$11.9k
Volume
$938.7k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$43.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · No0.8350.935$36.3k+$3.9k
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8400.861$2.5k+$60.06
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes0.9690.969$2.4k−$1.62
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes0.9200.915$1.8k−$10.00
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.8900.890$4.48+$0.00
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3920.519$2.60+$0.64
Starmer out by July 31, 2026? · No0.6220.000$0.00−$3.11
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.25
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$46.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:34US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.97$388.00
10-11 23:34US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.969$2.0k
10-11 23:13Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.89$4.48
10-11 23:12US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.92$1.8k
10-06 06:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8395675029$2.4k
09-17 02:28Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.86$5.7k
09-17 02:27Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.9622010928$5.7k
09-16 12:06Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.83$3.4k
09-16 12:05Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.943$257.06
09-16 12:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.9445596255$3.1k
09-16 08:45Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.84$714.83
09-16 08:45Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.9458159505$701.72
09-15 06:47Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.86$3.7k
09-15 06:46Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.952$476.00
09-15 04:15Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?SELL0.9501134892$3.2k