tumba0956
0x479ab9aec9ab9ecd1aff807375d6da77022c2ea1
- Realised P&L
- $603.88
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $189.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.988 | $65.48 | +$1.16 |
| Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.950 | $63.56 | −$0.74 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.957 | 0.965 | $60.26 | +$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$589.85at 0.530Stars vs. Jets
- +$2.20at 0.956Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.870Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
- +$1.56at 0.940New pandemic in 2026?
- +$0.97at 0.945Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 06:18 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.99 |
| 05-15 07:44 | Stars vs. Jets | BUY | 0.53 | $665.15 |