0x4795dee6d6f026cfbdb10146c3a8dcf75385de48
- Realised P&L
- $-19.59
- Volume
- $340.02
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $41.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.930Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.25at 0.946Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?
- +$0.06at 0.940Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
- +$0.00at 0.954Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
- +$0.00at 0.930Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 15:38 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | SELL | 0.87 | $3.48 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $3.82 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.68 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.72 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.68 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.72 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | SELL | 0.953 | $3.81 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | SELL | 0.95 | $3.80 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho? | SELL | 0.968 | $9.68 |
| 04-03 15:38 | Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $9.61 |
| 04-03 15:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.982 | $4.00 |
| 04-03 14:58 | Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $9.89 |
| 04-03 14:50 | Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.966 | $3.99 |