PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4795dee6d6f026cfbdb10146c3a8dcf75385de48

Realised P&L
$-19.59
Volume
$340.02
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$41.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · Yes0.4880.500$12.01+$0.29
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? · No0.4401.000$8.86+$4.96
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? · No0.3800.500$6.03+$1.45
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup? · Yes0.9401.000$3.18+$0.19
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · No0.5000.555$2.77+$0.28
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · Yes0.5200.500$2.50$0.10
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · No0.4600.455$2.39$0.03
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? · No0.3700.325$1.81$0.25
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes0.3800.070$0.72$3.17
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3800.046$0.66$4.80
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.3600.095$0.61$1.71
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00$12.13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.80
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.3800.000$0.00$2.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 15:38Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?SELL0.87$3.48
04-03 15:38Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?SELL0.93$9.30
04-03 15:38Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?SELL0.955$3.82
04-03 15:38Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026?SELL0.92$3.68
04-03 15:38Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?SELL0.93$3.72
04-03 15:38Will the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?SELL0.92$3.68
04-03 15:38Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026?SELL0.93$3.72
04-03 15:38Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?SELL0.953$3.81
04-03 15:38Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?SELL0.93$9.30
04-03 15:38Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?SELL0.95$3.80
04-03 15:38Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?SELL0.968$9.68
04-03 15:38Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.961$9.61
04-03 15:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.982$4.00
04-03 14:58Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?SELL0.92$9.89
04-03 14:50Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?SELL0.966$3.99