baklavam
0x4749be7fa0542b0818a71d68e74e0ee397af0ed3
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $453.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.125 | $219.75 | +$31.01 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.235 | $70.03 | +$0.51 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.145 | $58.00 | −$1.45 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.666 | $50.22 | +$5.02 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $24.75 | −$6.75 |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.080 | $15.80 | −$5.49 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.032 | $7.68 | +$0.11 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.042 | $4.15 | −$0.15 |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.024 | $3.38 | −$0.70 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:12 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.40 |
| 10-06 01:09 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.148625 | $59.45 |
| 10-06 00:56 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.17 |
| 10-06 00:51 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.075 | $2.04 |
| 10-06 00:44 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0332 | $3.32 |
| 10-06 00:43 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.68 |
| 10-03 16:39 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0337347249 | $3.10 |
| 10-03 16:38 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $47.52 |
| 10-03 16:21 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1153552448 | $8.25 |
| 10-02 15:21 | Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.98 |
| 09-28 15:14 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $4.30 |
| 09-27 19:56 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 09-26 19:05 | Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.15 | $92.16 |
| 09-26 18:58 | Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.80 |
| 09-26 18:58 | Will Đuro Macut win the next Serbia presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $28.03 |