0x652FF735B092ca8520721bc996335fdfE6901Daf-1772832928221
0x4701e75c5f0ef6d174181fc7d0010d7c27ff7454
- Realised P&L
- $-38.85
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $28.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.64at 0.078Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$7.85at 0.1130 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
- +$7.34at 0.201Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$4.63at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
- +$4.36at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:29 | Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.80 |
| 09-21 10:57 | Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-05 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $2.02 |
| 08-05 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 20:06 | UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 20:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 16:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999212 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |