crazyBR94
0x46f5b398f9bdd2e81631cc2de016c224955527a3
- Realised P&L
- $1.99
- Volume
- $726.99
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $10.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.08at 0.100Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%?
- +$5.24at 0.115Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$3.75at 0.250Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$3.70at 0.240Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?
- +$3.69at 0.177Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 23:04 | Will Ecuador host the 2028 Copa America? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.73 |
| 10-31 23:03 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.01 |
| 10-31 23:01 | Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 10-30 23:33 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-10-30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 23:27 | Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 3 - 0 Mirassol FC? | BUY | 0.131 | $0.92 |
| 10-30 11:49 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.01 |
| 10-26 20:20 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.01 |
| 10-26 03:45 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.073 | $1.02 |
| 10-25 23:39 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 23:37 | Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 80-82%? | SELL | 0.90798 | $9.08 |
| 10-25 23:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.00 |
| 10-25 23:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-25 20:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 10-24 21:31 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-24? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |
| 10-24 20:52 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |