PolyBot

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Traders

0x46a784cd1c75196126ab6d093aeea5e6c83c270f

0x46a784cd1c75196126ab6d093aeea5e6c83c270f

Realised P&L
$84.41
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$234.31

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6200.715$55.35+$7.35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.935$44.47+$5.47
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.6700.705$30.84+$1.53
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0000.685$28.68+$28.68
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6900.675$28.67$0.64
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.5300.515$28.48$0.83
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.4230.110$12.39$35.27
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9420.944$5.42+$0.01
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$29.28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.2850.000$0.00$47.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 04:31Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999924$9.78
09-19 04:24Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999924$9.78
09-19 04:20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7399999924$9.78
09-19 00:18Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.79$33.58
09-16 14:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-16 14:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-16 14:08Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-16 13:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-16 13:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-16 13:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8899999262$9.77
09-14 20:32Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999788$9.77
09-14 19:14Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999788$9.77
09-14 18:50Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999788$9.77
09-08 19:59Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.5$26.60
09-08 11:30Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6999999928$9.77