PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

24559621

0x46945f72b79d6587ac8778623c2662b43e2b7f72

Realised P&L
$68.86
Volume
$18.1k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$112.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15? · No0.9950.999$108.41+$0.41
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9240.972$3.05+$0.15
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes0.1800.091$1.52−$1.48
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.8000.000$0.00−$35.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19? · No0.9990.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$32.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 15?BUY0.9947144799$108.00
09-12 02:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 14?BUY0.9974458631$108.00
08-28 10:15Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?BUY0.9989999917$108.00
08-19 06:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?BUY0.9989998583$7.00
08-06 06:53Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7?BUY0.999$4.00
08-06 06:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6?BUY0.999$3.00
07-26 08:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 29?BUY0.998$32.00
07-26 08:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 28?BUY0.999$40.00
07-26 08:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 27?BUY0.9989999724$35.00
07-14 06:17Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6109999978$64.78
06-24 06:35Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?BUY0.999$12.00
06-24 06:34Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?BUY0.999$10.00
06-12 06:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13?BUY0.999$12.00
06-12 06:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12?BUY0.998999901$10.00
06-12 06:03Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$12.21