0x4690299a46d0b70359450e4f329f3ed68724a915
0x4690299a46d0b70359450e4f329f3ed68724a915
- Realised P&L
- $-5.90
- Volume
- $252.75
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.500 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.665 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.595 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.145 | $0.35 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.95at 0.260US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$4.82at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.319Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.73at 0.217Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.51at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 15:44 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:15 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:27 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:16 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:02 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 06:08 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 15:00 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |