HITCH
0x4688a3222d224307506bb63169706bedab1f6f23
- Realised P&L
- $211.61
- Volume
- $65.6k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.23at 0.140Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$95.86at 0.618Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
- +$86.58at 0.448Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
- +$75.36at 0.709Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$69.27at 0.639Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:55 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.56 | $32.41 |
| 10-16 10:55 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2889999955 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 07:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2999999979 | $14.54 |
| 10-14 07:42 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $15.04 |
| 10-05 17:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $444.54 |
| 10-05 17:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999988 | $76.00 |
| 10-05 17:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8249999921 | $76.00 |
| 10-05 17:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999977 | $76.00 |
| 10-05 17:42 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999989 | $76.00 |
| 10-05 17:41 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9750346188 | $101.00 |
| 10-05 17:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $101.00 |
| 10-05 17:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999929 | $101.00 |
| 10-05 17:40 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 09:53 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $622.40 |
| 09-05 09:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $64.00 |