sdfdf32
0x46699a85cd16c57d096271ffd93cfe75337bec81
- Realised P&L
- $-17.51
- Volume
- $52.7k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $32.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.648Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$2.62at 0.433Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?
- +$1.39at 0.590Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 13?
- +$1.00at 0.003Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$0.80at 0.840Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:49 | Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:49 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:48 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 08:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:48 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 08:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:38 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:38 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:38 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:38 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:38 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |