Mklon
0x46631d21af79c409717bc5fecdb645c25791c281
- Realised P&L
- $-252.70
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $188.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.433 | $140.14 | −$18.11 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.342 | $48.23 | −$1.77 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$68.28at 0.724Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$3.79at 0.971Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$1.15at 0.748Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
- +$0.88at 0.981Will Jorge James Pérez Rosas win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
- +$-0.86at 0.989Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | BUY | 0.3539999996 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.5 | $53.88 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5015920704 | $161.00 |
| 11-01 19:17 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.993 | $161.05 |
| 11-01 18:27 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:09 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4313085198 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:06 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9776986917 | $50.07 |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9699999993 | $207.00 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.99 | $108.18 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will Jorge James Pérez Rosas win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.995 | $61.89 |
| 11-01 17:40 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.33 | $37.50 |
| 10-31 03:35 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 02:28 | Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.0028628571 | $0.05 |
| 10-31 02:13 | Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.40 |
| 10-31 02:12 | Will Angello Alberto Ocampo Gutiérrez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.904 | $9.14 |