PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4662427fa6a60f91d9083dcbd6d9fdc797986876

Realised P&L
$-2.93
Volume
$74.29
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$2.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.915$1.41+$0.41
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes0.7800.775$0.99$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:31Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.78$1.00
09-08 01:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.59999988$1.00
09-07 13:33Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
09-01 14:45Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
09-01 06:40Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-29 09:44Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-19 13:41Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?BUY0.8099996274$1.00
08-19 03:48SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 19?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-18 15:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.8$1.00
08-18 07:44Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
08-17 23:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-17 15:40WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 17?BUY0.75$1.00
08-17 06:22Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $296 Week of August 17 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-16 22:21Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-14 16:55Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00