0x466004adfbe83c2ea433b4e64bab30f5f7f259a9
- Realised P&L
- $2.37
- Volume
- $69.58
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $6.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.335 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down | 0.720 | 1.000 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.160 | $1.20 | −$0.80 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19? · Yes | 0.694 | 1.000 | $1.16 | +$0.35 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.709 | 1.000 | $1.10 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.544Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$1.05at 0.614BNB Up or Down - April 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$0.76at 0.677Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$0.75at 0.614BNB Up or Down - April 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$0.74at 0.682Solana Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 04:00 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2649998688 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 00:10 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2649998688 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 05:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 05:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 10:06 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.88 |
| 04-28 10:06 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 10:05 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.89 |
| 04-28 10:04 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 09:59 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.66 |
| 04-28 09:52 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 09:45 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 03:00 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.53 |
| 04-28 02:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 02:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |