PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x466004adfbe83c2ea433b4e64bab30f5f7f259a9

Realised P&L
$2.37
Volume
$69.58
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$6.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yo FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2200.335$1.52+$0.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down0.7201.000$1.39+$0.39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2650.160$1.20$0.80
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19? · Yes0.6941.000$1.16+$0.35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.7091.000$1.10+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.719999856$1.00
05-02 04:00Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2649998688$1.00
05-02 00:10Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2649998688$1.00
05-01 05:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.719999856$1.00
05-01 05:38Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETBUY0.579999826$1.00
04-28 10:06Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.64$0.88
04-28 10:06Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-28 10:05Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.64$0.89
04-28 10:04Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-28 09:59Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.64$2.66
04-28 09:52Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-28 09:45Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.719999856$1.00
04-28 03:00US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.52$0.53
04-28 02:59US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?BUY0.98$1.00
04-28 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.98$1.00