vacoolaaa
0x464e56bd1656931279b7e1006f50c2abc2d51a67
- Realised P&L
- $-70.1k
- Volume
- $3.29M
- Markets traded
- 226
- Open portfolio
- $245.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded226
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.2kat 0.845Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$17.4kat 0.580Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
- +$14.1kat 0.650Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$13.9kat 0.778Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.7kat 0.724UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 19:37 | Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7323537147 | $222.78 |
| 10-11 14:38 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.65 | $195.00 |
| 10-11 13:55 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.66 | $495.00 |
| 10-10 18:40 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $297.00 |
| 10-10 16:00 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.408423 | $40.84 |
| 10-10 12:00 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.77 | $3.9k |
| 10-09 16:13 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 10-09 14:10 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 10-09 12:16 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.95 | $78.30 |
| 10-09 12:14 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.95 | $3.8k |
| 09-18 16:30 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $1.5k |
| 09-18 16:29 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $179.11 |
| 09-18 16:28 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.87 | $464.48 |
| 09-18 16:28 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.966 | $83.24 |
| 05-08 18:18 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5332996235 | $5.0k |