gregorykatherine
0x462fd5fbed9d47eff518bb622a85981111c21e17
- Realised P&L
- $16.22
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $18.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Falcons · Ravens | 0.670 | 0.570 | $12.95 | −$2.27 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? · No | 0.610 | 0.405 | $5.98 | −$3.03 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.41at 0.620Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$11.71at 0.590Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?
- +$1.72at 0.894Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.985Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?
- +$0.27at 0.992Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 08:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999951 | $14.40 |
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.22 |
| 01-30 15:18 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $16.09 |
| 01-30 14:59 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $15.27 |
| 01-30 13:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9984410028 | $41.26 |
| 12-30 12:06 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.32 |
| 12-30 02:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999834 | $13.76 |
| 12-30 02:12 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999021 | $8.19 |
| 12-30 00:35 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $19.09 |
| 12-29 19:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.50 |
| 10-30 23:32 | Will Solana dip to $120 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.97 |
| 10-30 22:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $22.14 |
| 10-30 20:53 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.49 |
| 09-29 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.47 |
| 09-29 09:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.62 |