PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wellv

0x4626ffc20b7314de1b6b804b9eded4b80850d40b

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$356.6k
Markets traded
1,073
Open portfolio
$21.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,073
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · No0.7130.743$5.2k+$207.04
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6470.625$3.9k−$137.09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.6100.706$2.7k+$361.05
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6460.645$2.5k−$3.00
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0310.024$2.1k−$682.81
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0210.019$1.7k−$91.34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.595$1.4k+$149.50
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.4160.461$1.1k+$108.00
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6800.715$961.18+$47.05
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.8520.870$171.44+$3.54
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31? · No0.7100.800$82.55+$9.29
ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30? · No0.4630.620$29.05+$7.36
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.8k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up0.7990.000$0.00−$17.00
Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6200.000$0.00−$124.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 19:43Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.37$74.00
10-12 19:43Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.38$38.00
10-12 19:43Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.38$61.97
10-12 19:43Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.39$60.75
10-12 19:42Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.4$315.34
10-12 19:42Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.41$20.50
10-11 10:43ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?BUY0.71$73.26
10-09 16:09Will Michael Olise finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.87$17.49
10-09 15:56Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.66$45.60
10-08 21:51ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?BUY0.48$2.40
10-08 18:11ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?BUY0.48$10.49
10-07 07:37ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?BUY0.44$8.80
10-06 18:52Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 2.5BUY0.63$201.60
10-05 17:38Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5BUY0.59$14.32
10-03 19:47North Macedonia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5BUY0.53$64.13